Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005553 0.006345 0.007260 0.008405 0.009817 0.011524 0.013778
2025-11-16 0.004335 0.005269 0.006448 0.008083 0.010355 0.013506 0.018413
2025-11-23 0.003800 0.004819 0.006189 0.008237 0.011360 0.016216 0.024995
2025-11-30 0.003348 0.004374 0.005816 0.008096 0.011832 0.018206 0.031332
2025-12-07 0.002973 0.003971 0.005424 0.007821 0.011982 0.019658 0.037419
2025-12-14 0.002715 0.003700 0.005177 0.007715 0.012369 0.021640 0.045887
2025-12-21 0.002581 0.003592 0.005160 0.007975 0.013466 0.025449 0.062039
2025-12-28 0.002490 0.003538 0.005216 0.008365 0.014916 0.030697 0.088608
2026-01-04 0.002363 0.003411 0.005132 0.008477 0.015816 0.035059 0.118992
2026-01-11 0.002221 0.003246 0.004963 0.008395 0.016255 0.038409 0.151753
2026-01-18 0.002111 0.003123 0.004853 0.008411 0.016935 0.042909 0.203342
2026-01-25 0.001976 0.002948 0.004632 0.008164 0.016895 0.045041 0.246639
2026-02-01 0.001819 0.002733 0.004334 0.007749 0.016421 0.045807 0.288096
2026-02-08 0.001693 0.002564 0.004109 0.007466 0.016264 0.047886 0.360190
2026-02-15 0.001631 0.002500 0.004076 0.007604 0.017339 0.056064 0.600959
2026-02-22 0.001545 0.002388 0.003937 0.007478 0.017600 0.060917 0.882649
2026-03-01 0.001455 0.002262 0.003758 0.007231 0.017421 0.063504 1.195886
2026-03-08 0.001388 0.002173 0.003648 0.007136 0.017716 0.069192 1.956340
2026-03-15 0.001359 0.002152 0.003670 0.007369 0.019214 0.084499 6.094198
2026-03-22 0.001341 0.002150 0.003732 0.007718 0.021301 0.108584 70.573575
2026-03-29 0.001303 0.002107 0.003703 0.007819 0.022498 0.128848 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001253 0.002039 0.003614 0.007745 0.022964 0.143645 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001214 0.001988 0.003559 0.007760 0.023836 0.166376 NaN